Friday, May 07, 2010
PA: Sestak Is Stronger in the General Election
A quick glance at the Pollster.com aggregates in a Specter vs. Republican Pat Toomey and Sestak vs. Toomey matchup shows that both candidates lose to Pat Toomey. Yes, it is true that Specter only trails by 6.9% (while Sestak trails by 9.1%), but the Sestak vs. Toomey matchup also has a larger pool of undecided voters. Thus, Sestak would have a greater opportunity to pick up voters and close any gap between Toomey and himself. Now you might say, but Specter could potentially pick up the undecided voters in a Specter vs. Toomey matchup. This scenario does not seem likely when we look at the favorability ratings of Specter among the general electorate.
Of course, Toomey is the favorite whomever he faces in the general election. He leads in both potential match-ups and has higher favorables than Specter and Sestak in all recent polls.
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