Friday, May 09, 2008

 

West Virginia and the impending blowout

Clinton is going to blow Obama out of the water in West Virginia... and I mean out of the water. The electorate in West Virginia is only going to be 5% African American. The rest are all white working class folks that have been going to Clinton in droves. In fact, in districts similar to the demographic makeup in West Virginia, Clinton has beaten Obama by 2 or 3 to 1. And if we learned anything from Indiana and North Carolina, demographics remain relatively consistent in this primary season. Don't be shocked to see 70% next Clinton's name on Tuesday night. Heck it might be 75%.... I'm personally thinking closer to 65%... but the other two are possible.

What does this mean? It means bad press for Obama. It means the tv audience will be treated to "Clinton back on track"... In truth, WV is only going to net Clinton a little less what she lost last Tuesday night in terms of the popular vote. And as we know, Obama is just running out the clock.

Clinton would impress me with an 80% total.... but there is a better chance that Betty Crocker (who is a company creation) comes and makes me some cake.

Here's what I can tell you... after Tuesday night, Obama will roll out some more super delegate endorsements.... bringing him closer to the nod.

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