Wednesday, April 02, 2008
A correction on IN and new PA poll
There is also a new poll by Public Policy Polling that has Obama up by 2 in PA. Besides the fact that I doubt he has gained 29 points on Clinton since PPP took its last poll about 2 weeks ago, the fact is that most polls still have her lead in the upper single or lower double digits. I believe Obama won't make any more in roads into Clinton's lead because the demographics as noted by Jay Cost (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/03/a_review_of_the_pennsylvania_p.html) . But let's make no mistake, Clinton must win this state and win it big. She has gotta win by at least 10 points to have a legitimate shot at the nomination, and in order to have a shot at catching Obama in the popular vote, she must win by 16+. That is looking more and more in doubt now.
If Obama ever won PA, Clinton would do us all a big favor and get out of the race.
Subscribe to Posts [Atom]